The Daily Incite - September 29, 2008

Submitted by Mike Rothman on Mon, 2008-09-29 07:24.
Today's Daily Incite

September 29, 2008 - Volume 3, #79

Good Morning:
It doesn't seem to be common knowledge, but we are in the midst of a gas shortage in northern ATL. I suspect it's all over the metro Atlanta area, but I can only speak for the 10 mile radius I scoured on Friday trying to get gas for my car. I must have passed 15 different stations that had no gas before I got lucky. A friend called with a tip on a station that just got a delivery and had gas. So I dutifully waited in line for about 40 minutes and filled up. Thanks to the iPhone, I could still be reasonably productive - but still, that's 40 minutes I'll never get back.
No Gas for U
We also got lucky last week when the Boss went to go fill up the van. She dropped the kids off at school and only had to wait 10 minutes at a local shop. I just drove by that specific station and the line is around the corner to get into both entrances. It's basically a mess.

Of course, it's great when the government is very supportive of the plight of the citizens. Our own esteemed Gov. Purdue thinks the shortage is "self-induced." Evidently he hasn't tried to fill up recently. It doesn't seem easy to govern with your head up your ass, but I guess he's trying.

I was talking to my Mom over the weekend and we talked about the 1973 gas crisis. Obviously I was very young, but I still remember Mom loading my brother and I into the Volvo station wagon at 5 AM to go wait in line to fill up. I guess those were scary times, but 5 year olds don't really understand that. I guess what goes around, comes around and here in the ATL it's coming around.

Tight supplies are being caused by the fallout from Hurricane Ike. Evidently a significant portion of refining capacity is still offline or ramping back up slowly. It reminds me that we are still very very dependent on fossil fuels to drive the economy. And as those fuels wane or become more expensive or are increasingly controlled by unfriendly parties - our economy is at risk. Sure we've got to work through this mortgage mess on Wall Street. But energy is clearly the biggest issue we (as a global community) face over the next 10 years.

We are doing our part by not doing unnecessary driving this week until supplies loosen up. Even though I don't need a new car, I'm seriously thinking about putting my name on a waiting list for a hybrid. Maybe this time I'll actually do it. And as soon as they come out with a hybrid van, we are there. Sure it's a bit more money up front and the direct payback in terms of dollars is a bit suspect. But it's hard to put a price on the heartburn we suffer from driving around on E, hoping the next service station has fuel (and you won't have to wait in line for a couple of hours) before we run out of gas and have to walk home.

And before I forget, Happy Birthday to my kid brother. His birthday was over the weekend. We had a lot of fun hanging out with the kids running around and creating havoc. As tough as things are, you've got to take the time to celebrate the good times. And to step back and enjoy the ride a bit. Sometimes it's hard, but you need to make a specific focus to make it happen.

Have a great day and I should be back on Wednesday, since tomorrow is a holiday for me. L'Shana Tova to all observing tomorrow.

Photo: "No Gasoline" originally uploaded by eschipul

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Top Security News

And in this corner the white list...
So what? - Larry Seltzer takes in a video interview of Mark Russinovich (yes, the Sony rootkit guy and one of the big brains pushing Microsoft's security strategy) and questions the viability of white lists. To paraphrase Larry, white lists are cool if you can shove a policy down a user's throat (like most corporates can), but they are useless for consumers. To be fair, Larry does say he hopes he's wrong because he buys into the concept of executing only authorized applications. Amazingly enough (especially if you ask the Boss), this situation isn't black and white. The reality is there is a continuum and we need to understand that. Even in the corporate world, there need to be gradations of lock-down, which treat different groups differently. Since the finance team is dealing with very important data, their devices should be locked down tighter than some other group. Same goes for consumers. They should have options to incrementally enforce greater levels of lockdown. You can sort of do that through different browser configuration and parental controls, but it's hard and requires a lot of pieces, and any savvy kid is going to be able to get around it. There is definitely a place for white lists in your security arsenal, but you need to make a choice as to how strictly you enforce them (and subsequently how much clean up you are willing to do).
Link to this

Who are you? What are you doing in my house?
So what? - I love those movies where the main character wakes up and is in a totally strange place, surrounded by "family" that he doesn't even know. Lots of silliness tends to ensue and then the person wakes up and realizes it's been a dream. They learn some heavy lesson and become a better person. You wonder if the folks at IBM look around what's left of ISS and wonder what the hell happened? Most of my contacts at ISS are gone. That's actually to be expected, since it takes a different kind of person to survive and thrive in a Big Blue culture. But what's more interesting is how two years after the deal, the ISS group is trying to become relevant again. Now they are making product announcements and talking about how security fits into IBM's overall strategy. Time flies when you are having fun, no? But two years of fun?!? That's what makes me chuckle about these big deals. How can any semblance of integration, which takes two years, be something to cheer about? IBM dropped $1.3 billion on the deal and as a result ISS has all but dropped off the radar. Of course, I'm sure they show up in a lot of deals that just go to IBM (and wouldn't be seen by a guy like me), but still. $1.3 Big is a lot to spend to wait around for a couple of years to figure out which end is up.
Link to this

Microsoft rides a paper surfboard to the top of the Wave
So what? - The Forresters checked out a bunch of data sheets and decided Microsoft was "top of the NAC heap." Not sure if they used those words, but that's what Tim Greene says were the results of Forrester's NAC wave. That kind of finding is pretty laughable. There is no question that Microsoft will be a player and they will absolutely own the agent that checks desktop device integrity. But to think they've got something that is enterprise-ready is a bit strange to hear. Even better, they put in a disclaimer saying the study isn't based on "units sold or performance tests," but how well the products will "meet the challenges of a set of real-world deployment situations." At least Gartner's ability to execute rating is based largely on company revenues and product sales. So basically this was an RFP process. And Microsoft prepared the best response. Great. People that really buy products understand that a good RFP response gets you into the bake-off. That's when things like "performance tests" start to matter. That's why I find it ridiculous that vendors get judged on this qualitative crap. Ultimately customers only care about whether a product can solve its problem, not whether the vendor gives GOOD RFP. Smart customers understand these types of reports can maybe provide a little perspective on identifying the long list of vendors to chat with. But to base a buying decision on it is irresponsible.
Link to this


The Laundry List

  1. Security budgets are still all over the map. Jim Reavis does a seriously unscientific poll and finds predicting budget impact to be a shot in the dark. I'm still standing by my thinking that the next 18 months will be bumpy - even for security folks. - Risk Bloggers
  2. I'd say Fortinet breaks out the wallet again, but it's likely a change purse. They acquire Secure Elements and become firmly established as the first guys to call in a fire sale. - Secure Elements release
  3. Astaro tries to out-barracuda Barracuda with a $499 email security appliance, which includes encryption. Keep a lookout for their new billboard and radio campaigns. Maybe they can get Astro from the Jetson's to be their corporate spokes-dog. - Astaro release
  4. John Sawyer reminds us that Fort Knox isn't secure, if you leave the door open through a faulty configuration. Same goes for firewalls. - Dark Reading blog

Top Blog Postings

Vulnerability <> Risk
Let's focus on PCI a bit, since within a week DSS 1.2 will be "live" and of course, anyone that want to do credit card business must comply. Rich talks a bit here about what's required to perform a real "scan" that the auditors will accept. Many IPS devices will actually block a number of the scan techniques, which may force the customer to open ports and/or turn off their IPS to let the scan run. Let's get back to the idiocy of counting vulnerabilities. A vulnerability is only important IF it can be EXPLOITED. If the IPS is going to block it, then who cares? What am I missing here? Let's say the vuln could be exploited by launching the attack from inside the network (and then presumably avoiding the IPS). Great, then the scanner should be able to run from the inside of the network to mimic real-life attack vectors. What is so hard about this? Turning off your defenses to complete a test and check a box for an audit is just plain dumb. And an assessor that pushes a customer to do this is bordering on negligent. Hopefully the PCI groups emerging quality assurance efforts will make sure this kind of stuff doesn't happen.
http://securosis.com/2008/09/19/how-to-tell-if-your-pci-scanning-vendor-is-dangerous/
Link to this

Do as I say or do as I want?
Remaining on the PCI topic, Anton brings up a great point about how prescriptive something like PCI (and every other regulation) can/should be. Ultimately the choice is between telling someone exactly what to do, even though that may not be relevant for their environment (like AV on Linux). Or saying you need to "protect private data," but not offer specifics as to what that means and leaving it up to the customer to screw it up. It's a tough call, but over the past 10 years we've shown that just focusing on the outcome desired (as HIPAA, GLBA, and SoX do) is not a recipe for success. Not by a long shot. Of course, PCI is a bit overbearing and it's getting more so every time they have a meeting, but I'd have to say on balance - having more detailed guidance has been much more useful than not. At least folks know which boxes they should be checking.
http://chuvakin.blogspot.com/2008/09/is-pci-dss-prescriptive.html
Link to this

That's right, no one wants to buy encryption
I'm not sure what they are saying most of the time, but the Voltage blog certainly does post a lot of stuff. Yet this post resonated with me because it's reflecting a lot of the anecdotal evidence I've been tracking for a while. No one cares about encryption. It's not that they don't want to protect their data - they do. But they don't really want to delve into the details of how it happens. They want it "built-in." If they look at a SaaS offering, they want it to be secure, their data encrypted and they don't want to worry about it. When they buy applications or have an integrator build them, security should be a feature. Maybe it's encryption, maybe it's not. The customer shouldn't really care. If full disk encryption is important for mobile employees (and it is), they want it built into the endpoint suite. Again, they don't want to worry about it or manage it. Looks like Jim Bidzos had it right all those years ago. Encryption is a tool kit, design-win type of business. The success is based upon having more folks build the encryption into their solutions, than getting customer to bolt it on after the fact. Transparency is still in vogue, especially when thinking about encryption.
http://superconductor.voltage.com/2008/09/whats-going-on.html
Link to this

Submitted by Michael Dickey (not verified) on Tue, 2008-09-30 07:24.

RE: Vulnerability <> Risk

Mike, I think ultimately you are correct that a vuln is only interesting if it can be exploited. However, just two points.

 First, it is still difficult to know when a vuln will actually be exploited. Sure, it might be an internal machine witho nly ports 80/443 open and needs port 445/139 open to pop. But What if the server next to it get popped? This then opens up the original server in question unless host-based firewalls are properly maintained (I'd argue they rarely are.). Even so, ports 445/139 need to be open to at least a domain controller...

 Second, an IPS is only useful if it can sit between the traffic. This is great when it sits where a firewall typically sits, at a chokepoint between two networks of differeing trust. However, with systems on the same network, an IPS is pretty ineffective. Fine, I'll grant that you could span all the traffic to it so you can generate alerts, but it then won't be able to stop anything because it's only getting a copy, and likely later than what the servers get when talking to each other.

So, I think your point ultimately has merit, but that's assuming a lot of effective security, which might not be the point to our roles in the network. :) I think a scan both with protections on and without protections has value, especially when commenting in the "countermeasures implemented" box for those items. But I still wouldn't want to be unaware of those vulns hiding beneath the surface.

Submitted by Rob Lewis (not verified) on Tue, 2008-09-30 10:03.

Mike, you are very correct that there needs to be a gradation of lockdowns. However, there is a continuum of relative trust within, as well as between groups. Those at the top of the chart within a user group are usually trusted with more sensitive docs than a clerk 1. What is more, how can one manage secure data hand-offs between groups, which also may be asymmetrical?

That is something we do by the way. Trustifier offers 127 levels of gradation within and between groups. That allows a lot of flexiblity for sub-groups in and between management and functional staffing groups, and allows for the ranking of devices as well as users/roles.

 

Submitted by Todd (not verified) on Tue, 2008-09-30 12:38.

Mike,

Did you read the actual Forrester report or just the article in Network World? I don't know where those disclaimers came from.

Page 2: "Forrester conducted product evaluations in May 2008 and interviewed 30 vendor and user companies"

The Forrester evaluation clearly was not an RFP:

Page 4: "Current offering. We evaluated each vendor’s NAC solution across overall product architecture,
access control architecture, enforcement architecture, policy architecture, scalability,
manageability, managed and unmanaged systems, compliance, and the strength of the solution,
against 12 scenarios based on client conversations.
· Strategy. We evaluated each vendor’s NAC strategy across product strategy/vision, product
support, corporate strategy, and the financial resources to support the strategy.
· Market presence. We evaluated each vendor’s presence in the NAC market through its installed
base, revenue, revenue growth, services, number of employees, and number and quality of
channel partners.

How is that different from Gartner? Sure, I doubt they hauled products into a lab but few analysts do. It looks to me like they covered all the other bases for large enterprise NAC products shipping in Q2.

Submitted by Mike Rothman on Tue, 2008-09-30 14:27.

Amazingly enough, Forrester doesn't have me on their distribution list, so I didn't read the actual report. I find it hard to believe that Forrester set up these products and ran them in any kind of technical environment. I'm willing to bet they "evaluated" these products based upon a survey, which is just another form of RFP.

The point about Gartner is that they at least has some provisions for market share and revenue heft. Yet I've also come down on them before because of the same reasons. I don't do quadrants or any other type of vendor rankings because I don't believe there is much value there. 

I understand it's the way the game is played, but that doesn't mean it's right.

 

Submitted by Network Guy (not verified) on Tue, 2008-09-30 21:44.

Mike,

I've read the Forrester Wave NAC report, Gartner's "MarketScope" on NAC, and other analyst reports. I don't get the impression any of them are suggesting you go out and buy a vendor's product based on reading their analysis alone. I look at these as good sources of comparative information when researching a technology or market to help determine who the 'players' are who may deserve a closer look.

True, the Forresters and Gartners out there don't typically test products in labs, so I don't expect that type of insight or analysis from them.

You seem to have a bias toward lab tests versus the "qualitative crap" (your words, not mine) from the analysts. Tests are valuable too, but they're just another source of information to maybe help narrow the list of vendors a bit.

Consider this though - several now-defunct NAC vendors managed to score impressive-sounding reviews at one point from some of the folks that do actually test products. Where are those award-winning products now? In the scrap heap - and customers were left holding the bag.

Why? Possibly because some of the "qualitative crap" wasn't taken into consideration, like... Does this vendor have a sustainable business model? Do they have a sound strategy and a strong roadmap for moving forward? Have they been burning cash for years but making no forward progress? Do they have the financial resources to keep the doors open? You know, crap like that.

 

Submitted by Mike Rothman on Wed, 2008-10-01 15:08.

Au contraire, I'm a big fan of the qualitative analysis. And Forrester (and Gartner) for their part don't tell customers to buy off their "short lists." But many customers are lazy, so they take a lot of these reports at face value. I don't think analysts should be doing lab tests. BUT I DO THINK CUSTOMERS SHOULD.

That's my point. I fear a lot of customers will look at NAP and figure they've got a winner because the report says so. And from what I've seen, they'll be disappointed. Yes, that is based on anecdotes, but it's about as scientific as the Forrester report.

I've been an analyst for a long, long time. I know how to play the game. And there is value in a wave and a MQ, when used within the proper context. If your scenario and use cases match up to the analyst's, then it's fine.

But way too many customers use these reports in lieu of doing their homework. That's what I'm trying to get people to avoid.

 

Submitted by Network Guy (not verified) on Wed, 2008-10-01 19:21.
Good clarifications, Mike. We're more or less on the same page. Customers must do their own homework. No short cuts. No free lunch. 3rd-party studies, reports, tests are fine and good to use for guidance and information gathering, but not to base the purchase decision on. As a consumer, I like seeing what Road & Track or Car and Driver write up about the new BMW M3, but I'm sure not going to plunk down $60-$70K before taking one out for a ride myself! (Hey, I can dream...)
Submitted by Todd (not verified) on Tue, 2008-09-30 16:17.

I don't expect Forrester (or Gartner) to run products in a lab. Joel Snyder is plenty good at that. None of the analyst firms I'm familiar with test products. Like you said, that's probably just the way the game is played. I also imagine analyst reports would get a lot more expensive if they included extensive testing.

What analysts do have is the ability to reach lots of end users, consider the market from the 50,000 ft level and provide some perspective which isn't just vendor hype. In that respect, I think Forrester wrote a reasonable report and it's worth reading. As far as I can see they clearly identified the leading large enterprise NAC vendors.

Certainly if I was in IT at a large enterprise and considering NAC, this report might save me a lot of research, especially the vendor comparison spreadsheet provided which you can customize.

I'm interested to know what other approaches you would take Mike?

 

 

Submitted by alan shimel (not verified) on Tue, 2008-09-30 23:51.
Guys I did read the whole report and did participate. I can tell you that this report was based upon what vendor told what to the forrester folks. What checking did they do to see if it was in fact real and not just smoke? Regardless of how StillSecure did in this. Asking vendors for references is like asking your Mom if she thinks you are good looking. I think Mike is dead on here.

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